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Testimony of Eric Price
Deputy Mayor for Planning and Economic Development
Before the Committee on Finance and Revenue
June 12, 2003
The National Pastime. The Nation's Capital.
Overview
Selection Process & Status
- Major League Baseball formed a Relocation Committee in order to
select a location for the Montreal Expos to play in Spring 2004
- MLB outlined process: select city first then ownership group
- District attended preliminary meeting with MLB Relocation Committee
in late January
- District made its formal presentation to MLB Relocation Committee
March 20
- MLB Relocation Committee plans to make a location recommendation to
Commissioner Selig in July
The Role of this Legislative Initiative
- The proposed legislation provides the tools for us to
negotiate with Major League Baseball
- Identifies the categories of revenue that will be used to
finance the ballpark, and
- Puts the legal and financial structures in place to participate
in a public private partnership
- The legislation create the ability to structure a financing plan and
enter into negotiations
- No actual financial plan has been negotiated with MLB or a
prospective ownership group
- The actual financing plan for such a deal will be voted on by
the Council (like MCI Arena and the Convention Center)
- The Ballpark Revenue Amendment Act of 2003
- Creates a Ballpark Revenue Fund:
- Establishes a sales tax of 10% for tickets, concessions and
merchandise at the ballpark; and
- Establishes a Ballpark Fee -- assessed on a sliding scale
against gross receipts that exempts 89% of eligible business.
- Will take effect only if, on or before October 1, 2003, there is
a binding agreement with MLB to relocate a team to the District.
Economic Benefits
- Financing a ballpark represents an investment in the economy
of the District of Columbia.
- This investment supports neighborhood revitalization efforts and
will have a catalytic effect on development in a growth corridor of
the city.
- We will show the economic benefits that a ballpark and team will
bring to the District.
- We will also review the kinds of financial commitments we will
negotiate with an ownership group that will benefit the greater
community.
DC: A Powerful Market
Strength of the Market
- 5.1 Million People, 5th Largest in the Country
- Effective Buying Income (EBI) is $131 Billion, Making DC the 4th
Largest EBI
- Median Income is $73,000, Making DC the 2nd Highest in the U.S.
- The DC Television Market (DMA) has 5.7 Million Viewers, Making it
the 8th Largest Market in the County
- 20 Million Annual Visitors Spend $5.9 Billion
- 12 million visitors during baseball season
- DC is the Only Market in the Top 10 That Does Not Have a Major
League Baseball Team
- The District Conducted 3 In-depth Market Studies
- DC Resident Interest Survey
- Fan Interest Survey
- Corporate Interest Survey
- DC Residents Survey: 504 DC Residents Regarding Bringing a MLB Team
to DC
Showed consistent support across Wards, Racial, Ethnic and Gender
Categories
80% Supporting Bringing Baseball to the District
72% Plan to Attend at Least One Game Per Year
77% Believe the Ballpark Will Help the District's Economy
77% Believe The Ballpark Would Bring Other Positive Developments to
the Surrounding Area
- Fan Interest Survey: 493 High Income Households in the Television
Market
67% are Interested in Purchasing a Season Ticket Package at high price
points
33% are Interested in Purchasing Single Game Tickets
- Corporate Interest Survey: 100 DC Market Corporations
Showed untapped market with significant interest at high price points;
little impact on Orioles.
Advertising: 42% Would Advertise at New DC Ballpark or be a Team
Sponsor
Suites: 28% Would Lease a Suite at New DC Ballpark
Naming Rights: 5 Local Companies Interested in Naming Rights
Financial Proposal
- Our financing model is built to demonstrate how we can support our
financial commitment to Major League Baseball for funding a portion of
a new ballpark and renovating RFK.
- We have not proposed the use of any general fund revenues and have
built a model that utilized revenues that would not exist if not for
the return of baseball to the District
- This financing model is based on diverse and reliable funding
sources and the assumptions on which they are based are conservative.
- While we have used conservative assumptions for the financial model,
our market research indicates much greater revenue potential.
Assumptions
- Gate:
- 38,000 paid first year, 30,000 stabilized
- average ticket price of $22
- Suites:
- 87 leasable, 95% occupancy
- $125,000 average lease value
- Club Seats
- 2,000, 97% occupancy
- $2,800 average lease value
- Concessions, Merchandise, Parking:
- 35,000 actual attendance first year, 28,000 stabilized
- concessions per-caps at $7.50 (higher in premium)
- merchandise per-caps on $1.75
Source: Brailsford & Dunlavey; PricewaterhouseCoopers;
MLB Published Figures
Proposed Deal
- DC's Financial Participation
- $338 million (72%) of $463 million of Total Project Cost
- Including $15 million of renovation of RFK for interim use
- Full Operational Control During Season for $1 Per Year Lease
Bond Sources & Uses (In Millions)
- Dedicate Tax Streams in 2003
- Case Fund RFK in 2004
- Cash Fund New Ballpark Pre-Development in 2004-2005
- Issue Bonds for New Ballpark in Early 2005
Sources |
|
Cash |
$46.8 |
Bond Issuance |
291.9 |
Total Sources |
$338.7 |
|
|
Uses |
|
New Stadium Development |
$275.0 |
RFK Improvements |
15.0 |
Reserve Funds |
39.7 |
Cost of Insurance |
9.0 |
Total Uses |
$338.7 |
Source: UBS PaineWebber Inc.; Strategic Advisory Group
Public Cash Flows (In Millions)
|
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
Revenues |
|
|
|
|
Ballpark Sales Taxes |
$10.1 |
$9.4 |
$8.5 |
$11.9 |
Player Income Tax |
4.5 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
Ballpark Fee |
9.0 |
9.2 |
9.4 |
9.6 |
Subtotal |
23.6 |
23.2 |
22.7 |
26.4 |
Debt Service |
0 |
0 |
(7.0) |
(14.0) |
Project Funding (RFK, etc.) |
(23.6) |
(23.2) |
0 |
0 |
Net Cash Flows |
0 |
0 |
$15.7 |
$12.4 |
Coverage |
- |
- |
3.24 |
1.89 |
Source: UBS PaineWebber Inc.; Strategic Advisory Group
Projected Public Cash Flows with 20% Attendance Decline vs. Stablized*
(In Millions)
|
2011 |
Revenues |
(Stabilized Year) |
Ballpark Sales Taxes |
$8.6 |
Player Income Tax |
5.3 |
Ballpark Fee |
10.2 |
Subtotal |
$24.1 |
Debt Service |
(15.0) |
Net Cash Flows |
$9.1 |
Coverage |
1.61 |
*Stabilized paid attendance is 30,340; stabilized actual attendance is
27,913.
Source: UBS PaineWebber Inc.; Strategic Advisory Group
Sensitivity Analysis
Attendance sensitivity analyses indicate that, as proposed, even is
attendance goes down 20%, the project will still maintain debt service
coverage of over 1.5 x debt service
Projected Public Cash Flows with 50% Attendance Decline vs. Stablized*
(In Millions)
|
2011 |
Revenues |
(Stabilized Year) |
Ballpark Sales Taxes |
$5.6 |
Player Income Tax |
5.3 |
Ballpark Fee |
10.2 |
Subtotal |
$21.1 |
Debt Service |
(15.0) |
Net Cash Flows |
$6.1 |
Coverage |
1.41 |
*Stabilized paid attendance is 30,340; stabilized actual attendance is
27,913.
Source: UBS PaineWebber Inc.; Strategic Advisory Group
Sensitivity Analysis
Attendance sensitivity analyses indicate that, as proposed, even is
attendance goes down 50%, the project will still maintain debt service
coverage of over 1.4 x debt service
Hypothetical Rank of 2002 Attendance (Current Projection - Stabilized)
Rank |
Team |
Average Game Attendance |
Facility/Built |
13 |
Atlanta Braves |
32,141 |
Turner Field 1997 |
14 |
Houston Astros |
31,078 |
Minute Maid Field 2000 |
15 |
Washington* (*Projected) |
30,340* |
|
16 |
Texas |
29,404 |
Ballpark at Arlington 1994 |
17 |
Anaheim |
28,463 |
Edison Field 1966 |
Source: UBS PaineWebber Inc.; Strategic Advisory Group,
Brailsford & Dunlavey
Hypothetical Rank of 2002 Attendance (Assuming 20% Attendance Loss vs.
Stabilized)
Rank |
Team |
Average Game Attendance |
Facility/Built |
18 |
Oakland |
26,787 |
Network Associates 1968 |
19 |
Milwaukee |
24,310 |
Miller Park 2000 |
20 |
Washington* (*Projected) |
24,272 |
|
21 |
Minnesota |
23,758 |
Metrodome 1982 |
22 |
Cincinnatti |
23,197 |
Cinergy Field 1966 |
Source: UBS PaineWebber Inc.; Strategic Advisory Group,
Brailsford & Dunlavey
Hypothetical Rank of 2002 Attendance (Assuming 50% Attendance Loss vs.
Stabilized)
Rank |
Team |
Average Game Attendance |
Facility/Built |
26 |
Detroit |
18,795 |
Comerica 2000 |
27 |
Kansas City |
17,182 |
Kaufmann Stadium 1978 |
28 |
Washington* (*Projected) |
15,170* |
|
29 |
Tampa Bay |
13,157 |
Tropicana Field 1998 |
30 |
Florida |
10,038 |
Pro Player 1993 |
Source: UBS PaineWebber Inc.; Strategic Advisory Group,
Brailsford & Dunlavey
DC's Financing
- UBS PaineWebber Inc. Advising the District
- Municipal Bond Insurers Have Reviewed Financing Package
Economic Benefits
- Financing a ballpark represents an investment in the economy
of the District of Columbia.
- This investment supports neighborhood revitalization efforts and
will have a catalytic effect on development in a growth corridor of
the city.
- We will show the economic benefits that a ballpark and team will
bring to the District.
- We will also review the kinds of financial commitments we will
negotiate with an ownership group that will benefit the greater
community.
Construction Benefits
- The $272 million construction project will:
- Create 3,548 direct and indirect jobs over three years.
- Generate direct and indirect payroll of $130 million.
- Result in spending of $136 million in materials, $34 million of
this spending in the District.
- Generate $41 million in contracting; $10 million in the
District.
- Result in $72 million in local economic activity and income tax
revenue to the District of $5 million (discounting for revenues
that will leak out to surrounding jurisdictions).
Inside the Ballpark Benefits
- Ballpark operations will create 360 total jobs with associated
payrolls of over $94 million.
- The Ballpark tenant will spend over $135 million a year in
operations.
- Total annual tax revenues to the District (discounting for leakages
to other jurisdictions) are projected at $23 million.
Outside the Ballpark Benefits
- Nearly $50 million will be spent outside the ballpark each year by
visiting teams and fans supporting 675 jobs in the District.
- That's 241 hotel jobs; 175 retail jobs; 174 restaurant jobs; 114
transportation jobs and 71 parking jobs.
- These jobs will represent over $14 million in payroll.
- Total visiting teams and fan spending at restaurants will be almost
$18 million and spending at hotels will be over $15 million (over
113,000 hotel room nights/year).
- Almost $6 million a year in total new tax revenue (discounting for
leakages to outside jurisdictions).
Total Impacts
- The ongoing benefits of a ballpark will total over $1.1 billion over
a 30-year period.
- Total annual tax collections for ballpark operations and outside the
ballpark spending will come to almost $29 million.
- Total tax collections for ballpark construction will be $5 million.
- By bringing baseball to the District, we have the opportunity to
capture revenues that would otherwise be spent in another
jurisdiction.
- These will be mainly new revenues rather than shifts in spending
within the District.
- All benefits are "net new" to the District compared to
cities building ballparks for existing teams.
Impact of MCI Arena
- MCI Arena opened in 1997
- By 2002, within 5 blocks of the Arena -
- 25 projects worth $1.2 billion paying $54 million/year in taxes
- 15,600 jobs created
- By 2007, within 5 blocks of the Arena -
- 62 projects worth $4.4 billion will be paying $141 million/year
in taxes
- 34,500 jobs will be created
Source: The Downtown Business Improvement District
Other Cities' Experiences
- Denver - ballpark opened in 1995
- 3,200 units of new housing built around Coors Field in ten years
after the ballpark was first announced in 1991 (90% of these were
built after 1995).
Public Benefits
- As with other publicly financed projects, the owners will be
required to commit to DC resident hiring goals and LSDBE contracting
requirements.
- As an example, standard First Source Agreements stipulate:
- 51% DC resident hiring
- 35% LSDBE usage
- Specific commitments will be negotiated with the team owners and
become part of the overall transaction.
- The District will seek specific returns on our investment as part of
a negotiated agreement with team owners:
- Guarantee of 400-800 seats to each game for $1-$5
- Minimum annual contribution from the Team Foundation to the
District* - such as
- Direct 50% toward youth sports programs, fields and
equipment
- Direct 50% toward education and literacy programs
(*In Phoenix, minimum contribution is $1,000,000/year)
Recap
- We have a very strong market.
- We have viable sites.
- The proposed legislation is not a financing proposal.
- We have a doable financing model based on conservative assumptions.
- Financing a ballpark will create economic benefits to the city.
- We have not proposed the use of general fund revenues.
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